Global Dynamics and Resilience
Human activities have global level impacts generating serious, interlinked challenges that include climate change, ocean acidification, declining fisheries, emerging diseases, antibiotic resistance and recurrent energy, food, and water crises. Their interactive effects are very likely to result in nonlinear, and perhaps, irreversible shifts in the behavior of the planetary system.
The world lacks institutions capable of addressing global-scale socio-ecological system governance, especially in regard to interlinked challenges that cross sectors and scales, where existing fragmented governance efforts may each deal with only part of the challenges. It is these unrecognized, and sometimes deliberately ignored, links and feedbacks that will most likely give rise to serious, unwanted changes/collapses.
The aim of this programme, launched jointly with the Stockholm Resilience Centre, is to gain better understanding of the global social-ecological system, the likelihood and consequences of sequential or coincident multiple shocks and how society responds to these crises and shocks. We will start developing a framework for conceptualizing how the interlinked global system responds to crises and shocks and also develop ways for analyzing options for intervention to improve the odds of beneficial systematic outcomes.
The programme tackles a twofold problem:
- The interactive effects of climate change, ocean acidification, declining fisheries, emerging diseases, antibioticresistance and recurrent energy, food and water crises are likely to result in significant, perhaps irreversible, shifts in the planetary system’sbehaviour.
The world lacks institutions capable of addressing these interactive, cross-sectoral effects that connect the local with the global. Existing fragmented governance efforts, each dealing with parts of the problem, will most likely lead to dangerous threshold effects.
The overarching questions that the Global Dynamics and Resilience programme tackles are:
What are the critical unrecognised or ignored social-ecological links and feedbacks at the global scale, and what kinds of governance structures can be developed to avoid catastrophic shifts in the Earth system, so as to create long-term conditions for prosperous human development?
Programme Director: Anne-Sophie Crépin